The future of policy is still unclear
For the second meeting in a row, the Federal Reserve kept rates steady at 3.5% to 3.75%. This choice caused stocks and digital assets to become unstable. Also, a few big banks changed their outlook, which pushed back expectations for easing. Rising oil prices are still affecting inflation expectations and policy decisions. Brent crude rose to almost $115, which made the economic outlook worse. Powell did say, though, that there are short-term risks of inflation, but he downplayed worries about long-term stagflation.
Market forecasts now show that rate cuts will happen later than they were thought to happen before. Additionally, tools tracking expectations suggest limited easing in 2026, with clearer action likely in 2027. Consequently, investors are adjusting strategies amid persistent inflation and global tensions. U.S. stock futures moved higher ahead of Powell’s remarks, reversing earlier losses. Moreover, crypto-related stocks tracked the gains seen in equities. This rebound reflects cautious optimism despite uncertainty surrounding monetary policy and geopolitical risks.
Bitcoin traded near 67,500 dollars after rising over the past day. Trading volume increased sharply, signalling stronger market participation. Besides, the price movement aligns with broader recovery trends across risk assets. Market analysts highlighted a bearish triangle pattern forming on Bitcoin charts. This pattern suggests a potential downside if key support levels fail. Additionally, projections indicate a possible deeper correction if pressure across equities continues. Investors are now focused on Powell’s tone during the discussion for policy direction. Moreover, his comments could influence expectations across equities, bonds, and crypto markets. Hence, the speech remains a key driver for short-term market sentiment.
