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In a development that could bring renewed momentum to cryptocurrency markets, the U.S. Senate has reached an agreement on a three-part budget deal intended to end the prolonged government shutdown. With fresh prospects for government reopening, investor confidence may soon stabilize, potentially sparking a rebound in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other digital assets that have been hampered by ongoing political uncertainty.
- The U.S. Senate has tentatively agreed on a budget deal to end the government shutdown, supporting a pathway toward reopening the government.
- This move could provide much-needed relief to the cryptocurrency markets, which have experienced volatility amid political deadlock.
- Bitcoin’s price has been notably volatile, falling over 17% since early October amid global economic tensions and U.S. political uncertainty.
- Previous government shutdowns have historically ignited significant rallies in Bitcoin, with gains exceeding 200% after lifting recent shutdowns.
- Markets are betting on a probable resolution, with prediction markets giving over 50% odds of the shutdown ending in the coming days.
The U.S. crypto market has been under pressure as political impasses caused delays in government funding and increased economic uncertainty. Investors have closely watched legislative developments, knowing that a government reopening could catalyze positive sentiment across blockchain and cryptocurrency sectors.
Pending legislation to finance the U.S. government has garnered enough support to clear the 60-vote threshold in the Senate, according to sources familiar with the matter. This marks a crucial step toward ending the record 40-day shutdown that has created turbulence in global markets, including the crypto sphere.
Earlier this month, Bitcoin initially surged to a high of $126,080, driven by the anticipation of an imminent resolution. Since then, the cryptocurrency has retreated by over 17%, falling to approximately $104,370, as per CoinGecko data. The market’s reaction reflects concerns over how prolonged political deadlock might hamper economic growth and investor confidence.
Global economic tensions, such as President Donald Trump’s announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese goods, also contributed to Bitcoin’s downturn, pushing its value down by double digits in early October.
Bitcoin’s Historic Rally Post-Previous Shutdowns
In the past, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to rally sharply after government shutdowns are resolved. For instance, during the last shutdown between late December 2018 and January 2019, Bitcoin surged approximately 265%, rising from $3,550 to $13,000 within five months after the stalemate ended.
Markets Predict Shutdown Resolution Within Days
Betting markets like Polymarket favor the likelihood that the government shutdown will conclude soon, with a 54% probability that it will end between Tuesday and Friday of this week. Earlier, such odds were estimated at just 27%, indicating increasing confidence among traders and analysts.
Similarly, Kalshi’s platform estimates a 44-day shutdown could end by Friday, further supporting positive forecasts from institutional stakeholders.
Meanwhile, President Trump announced that most Americans will receive a $2,000 dividend derived from tariff revenues, with about 85% of adults eligible, excluding high-income earners. This fiscal development adds another layer of optimism for economic recovery and, by extension, the crypto markets.
As the political climate evolves, many investors are watching for signs of stabilization. The resolution of the government shutdown might unlock the next chapter of growth for cryptocurrencies, potentially bringing Bitcoin and Ethereum back into bullish territory after months of uncertainty.
