Skeptical Take on 4chan’s Bitcoin $145K-in-October Forecast

A viral social media screenshot is once again drawing attention to an alleged Bitcoin price “prediction” that purportedly called multiple BTC price levels from 2019 through 2024, with a final target of $145,000 by October 2026. The post is being shared as proof that one anonymous author “never misses”—but the underlying claims don’t hold up under basic verification.

According to the account that resurfaced the meme, the screenshot traces back to Dec. 20, 2018 and appears to follow a 4chan-style anonymous format. While some of the listed levels coincide with real market moments, multiple inconsistencies—especially around provenance and supply-control math—make it impossible to treat the screenshot as credible evidence.

Key takeaways

• The viral image is not backed by a verifiable 4chan archive link, tripcode, or identity marker, so it cannot be proven that the same person posted the targets before the market moved.
• Earlier versions of the meme reportedly used the same “~90% of total supply” wording but different Bitcoin targets, suggesting the list may have been edited to fit outcomes.
• The claim that a group holds around 90% of Bitcoin supply conflicts with commonly cited on-chain concentration data from Bitinfocharts.
• A market-cap figure of $5.7 trillion is internally inconsistent with a BTC price target of $145,000 and Bitcoin’s circulating supply assumptions.

Why the $145,000 call still can’t be verified

The renewed circulation centers on a screenshot shared by crypto account Corleone. The image shows an anonymous 4chan-style post dated Dec. 20, 2018 that lists a series of Bitcoin price targets tied to specific months and years—from October 2019 onward through September 2024—before adding a new final target of $145,000 for October 2026.

At face value, the timeline looks “uncannily accurate.” Bitcoin did trade near several of the historical levels referenced in the screenshot, including around $67,000 in November 2021 and near $16,000 during the November 2022 bear-market low. But accuracy in hindsight is not the same as authentic foresight.

The key problem is provenance. The screenshot does not provide an archive link, a tripcode, or any repeatable identity detail that would let readers verify the post’s origin. On 4chan, “anonymous” isn’t a single person with a persistent identity—it’s a privacy model. Without an archived source that can be independently checked, there is no reliable method to confirm that the predictions were created before those market moves occurred.

Different target lists in earlier versions raise editing concerns

There are also signs that the meme may have been revised over time to better match Bitcoin’s trajectory. A Binance Square post from July 2024 reportedly uses very similar language, including the phrase “we hold around 90% of total supply,” and many of the same target dates. However, it lists a different Bitcoin price level for September 2024—$105,400—rather than the viral screenshot’s $74,000.

That discrepancy matters because it points to a key asymmetry: if the targets are truly independent forecasts made years earlier, the same list should not swing materially while retaining “the same” message style. Instead, the differences suggest the image or underlying list may have been altered across iterations—potentially after the fact—to improve how well the claims align with known price history.

“90% of BTC supply” doesn’t match available concentration data

Beyond the unverifiable origin, the screenshot makes a striking statement: “We hold around 90% of total supply now.” If treated literally, that would imply control of roughly 18 million BTC given Bitcoin’s approximate supply cap of 21 million BTC. Yet commonly referenced on-chain concentration benchmarks paint a different picture.

For example, Bitinfocharts data indicates that the top 100 richest Bitcoin addresses control about 15.27% of the BTC supply, while the top 10,000 addresses hold about 53.89%. Those figures fall far short of the viral post’s “around 90%” assertion.

To be clear, concentration metrics always depend on definitions and clustering methodology. But “around 90%” is so far from widely observed distribution patterns that it cannot be accepted without strong, transparent evidence—especially when the source itself cannot be authenticated.

The market-cap math appears inconsistent

The screenshot further claims that the prediction would correspond to a $5.7 trillion market cap, alongside Bitcoin dominance of 40%–47%. If that $5.7 trillion figure is meant to refer to Bitcoin alone, it conflicts with the economics implied by the $145,000 target.

Using a rough circulating supply of about 20 million BTC, a $145,000 valuation would translate to a market capitalization around $2.9 trillion. Even assuming the maximum supply of roughly 21 million BTC, the implied market cap would be about $3.05 trillion—still well below $5.7 trillion.

If the $5.7 trillion number is instead intended to describe the total crypto market, the screenshot’s wording is unclear. Either way, the mismatch adds another layer of doubt: the claims read less like a consistent forecast framework and more like a meme assembled from loosely related metrics.

What investors should watch next

For now, the $145,000-by-October-2026 claim should be treated as an unverified viral narrative rather than evidence of an extraordinary forecasting ability. The most important question for future iterations is whether anyone can provide a cryptographically verifiable archive of the original post (not just reposted screenshots)—and whether any new version introduces targets that can be independently checked against an immutable record.